Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.153649 0.164281 0.175377 0.187839 0.201470 0.215952 0.232536
2025-12-28 0.133889 0.149249 0.166169 0.186281 0.209654 0.236101 0.268494
2026-01-04 0.124358 0.142529 0.163287 0.188943 0.220056 0.256899 0.304325
2026-01-11 0.115407 0.135119 0.158281 0.187798 0.224832 0.270335 0.331377
2026-01-18 0.107676 0.128299 0.153104 0.185537 0.227427 0.280561 0.354469
2026-01-25 0.100809 0.121922 0.147828 0.182460 0.228336 0.288190 0.374202
2026-02-01 0.097768 0.120025 0.147888 0.185987 0.237785 0.307378 0.410884
2026-02-08 0.092916 0.115465 0.144161 0.184137 0.239679 0.316172 0.433335
2026-02-15 0.089273 0.112232 0.141910 0.184004 0.243735 0.328022 0.460959
2026-02-22 0.084757 0.107588 0.137491 0.180550 0.242755 0.332382 0.477378
2026-03-01 0.081613 0.104610 0.135134 0.179768 0.245443 0.342134 0.502774
2026-03-08 0.079240 0.102547 0.133891 0.180432 0.250187 0.355154 0.534356
2026-03-15 0.075817 0.098929 0.130366 0.177670 0.249722 0.360255 0.553601
2026-03-22 0.073082 0.096159 0.127908 0.176337 0.251331 0.368693 0.579266
2026-03-29 0.071726 0.095252 0.128037 0.178812 0.258922 0.387174 0.624131
2026-04-05 0.069414 0.092880 0.125924 0.177745 0.260781 0.396266 0.652862
2026-04-12 0.066958 0.090201 0.123240 0.175640 0.260792 0.402162 0.676102
2026-04-19 0.064445 0.087345 0.120172 0.172773 0.259351 0.405399 0.694466
2026-04-26 0.063747 0.087114 0.121000 0.176059 0.268295 0.427363 0.751695
2026-05-03 0.061777 0.084926 0.118774 0.174335 0.268620 0.433893 0.778425
2026-05-10 0.060324 0.083455 0.117581 0.174211 0.271656 0.445522 0.816891
2026-05-17 0.058185 0.080880 0.114589 0.170992 0.269080 0.446484 0.832608
2026-05-24 0.056756 0.079338 0.113143 0.170263 0.270852 0.455752 0.867414